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MBB: James Madison University Dukes preview

November 27, 2010

Now that EMU’s football season is over, we turn our attention first and foremost to the men’s basketball team. The Eagles are 1-2, and the poor shooting is definitely worrisome. Tonight EMU travels to Virginia to take on the James Madison Dukes. Let’s start with some basic know-your-foe information about the Dukes. First, you can check out the JMU athletics website here.

Team Info
Conference Colonial Athletic Association (CAA)
Location Harrisonburg, VA
Coach Matt Brady (since 2008)
Hire Date: March 25
Arena (Capacity) James Madison University Convocation Center (7,156)
NCAA Appearances 4
NCAA Record 3-4 (.429)
Most Recent NCAA Appearance 1994
Most Recent NCAA Win 1983
School Info
Founded 1908
Type Public
Selectivity (US News) More selective
Students (2009) 16,168 (6,468 M, 9,700 F)

James Madison University has a fair amount in common with EMU. Founded in 1908 as The State Normal and Industrial School for Women at Harrisonburg, in 1914 it was renamed the State Normal School for Women at Harrisonburg. It was renamed the State Teachers College at Harrisonburg in 1924 and continued under that name until 1938, when it was named Madison College in honor of the fourth president of the United States. In 1946, men were first allowed to enroll, and in 1966 the school became fully coeducational. In 1976 Madison College became a university, and the current name was chosen. Although nearly as large as EMU, JMU is a fairly selective public school. The nickname “Dukes” is derived from Samuel Page Duke, the school’s second president.

Head Coach Matt Brady
Team Years Record
James Madison 2008-2011 37-35 (51.4%)
Marist 2004-2008 73-50 (59.3%)
Overall: 2 teams, 7 seasons, 110-85 (56.4%)

James Madison coach Matt Brady is in his seventh season as a head coach. In four years coaching the Marist Red Foxes in the Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference (MAAC), he only failed to post a winning record one year (his first), and he took the team to the 2007 NIT, in which they upset the #2 seed Oklahoma State Cowboys before fallling, 69-62, to North Carolina State. He had a strong first season with the Dukes, going 20-14, but they struggled some last year, finishing with a 13-20 record.

Since it’s still very early in this basketball season, let’s next take a look at how the Dukes did in 2009-10.

James Madison University 2009-2010 record:
Split W-L Pct
Total 13-20 .394
Home 9-5 0.643
Away 3-14 0.176
Neutral 1-1 0.5
Conference 4-14 0.222
Conf Home 4-5 0.444
Conf Away 0-9 0.0
Conf Neutral 0-0
Top 25 0-1 0.0
RPI 1-50 0-3 0.0
RPI 51-100 2-4 0.333
RPI 101-150 1-4 0.2
RPI 151-200 1-4 0.2
RPI 200+ 9-4 0.692

The Dukes lost three key contributors from last season. Senior forward Dazzmond Thornton left the team in early January. Matt Brady was not happy with the performance of freshman guard Darren White, who started most of last season for the Dukes, and freshman Alvin Brown, who redshirted, and Brady asked both to leave the team. The Dukes also lost senior guard Pierre Curtis.

Name Height Weight Pos. Class Notes
Alvin Brown 6-10 210 F Freshman
Pierre Curtis 6-3 180 G Senior Starter averaging 34 minutes, 8.8 points, 4.2 assists, and 3.2 rebounds per game.
Dazzmond Thornton 6-7 275 F Senior Key contributor in the first half of the season, before leaving the team.
Matt Parker 6-8 220 F Senior Averaged 3 points and 10 minutes per game.
Darren White 6-3 200 G Freshman Starter averging 27 minutes, 8.8 points, and 4 rebounds per game.

Roster with notes:

James Madison Dukes roster
Name # Pos. Wt. Ht. Yr. Comments
Denzel Bowles 21 F 255 6-10 Sr. Starter, leads the team in points and blocks; second in rebounds and assists.
Alioune Diouf 5 G 210 6-5 So.
Trevon Flores 41 F 220 6-11 So.
Rayshawn Goins 33 F 250 6-6 Jr. Starter, JUCO transfer, second in scoring, leading rebounder.
Anthony “Humpty” Hitchens 12 G 175 5-9 Jr. Starter, transferred from Akron, leads the team in steals.
Chad Jackson 24 G 185 6-4 Fr. Averaging 18 minutes and 2 points off the bench, the #4 rebounder.
Ben Louis 14 G 190 6-3 Sr.
Kevin McGaughey 20 G 185 6-5 Fr.
Devon Moore 40 G 165 6-4 So. Starter, leads the team in assists, #3 scorer.
Andre Prince 13 G 180 6-0 Fr.
Andrey Semenov 11 F 195 6-7 So. Averaging 21 minutes and 7 points off the bench, #2 shot blocker.
Julius Wells 34 F 190 6-4 Jr. Starter, best outside shooter.

As the next table shows, the Dukes really only go seven players deep, with only Semenov and Jackson providing meaningful play off the bench this year, which means they may get worn out if EMU is able to push the tempo. EMU fans will particularly recall Humpty Hitchens, who scored 16 points before fouling out in Akron’s double-overtime win over EMU in the 2010 MAC tournament; he hit the three-point shot at the beginning of the second overtime that put Akron up for good.

GP GS MPG PPG FG% FT% 3P% RPG ORPG DRPG APG TPG SPG BPG FPG
#40 D. Moore 5 5 35.8 12.6 52.9 80.0 33.3 2.4 0.8 1.6 4.0 3.2 0.4 0.0 2.4
#34 J. Wells 5 5 32.8 8.8 34.9 80.0 34.5 4.2 1.2 3.0 2.6 2.0 0.2 0.2 2.2
#21 D. Bowles 5 5 31.4 16.6 72.3 68.2 0.0 7.0 2.2 4.8 3.2 4.2 0.4 1.6 2.6
#12 A. Hitchens 5 5 29.8 8.8 40.5 60.0 42.1 1.8 0.0 1.8 1.8 1.0 0.8 0.0 2.2
#33 R. Goins 5 5 25.6 14.4 55.1 65.4 50.0 7.2 2.6 4.6 0.4 1.8 0.2 0.0 2.6
#11 A. Semenov 5 0 21.0 7.2 37.9 85.7 50.0 2.8 0.6 2.0 1.0 0.6 0.8 1.4 2.8
#24 C. Jackson 5 0 18.2 1.6 42.9 40.0 0.0 3.4 0.6 2.8 1.4 2.0 0.4 0.0 1.4
#14 B. Louis 4 0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.25 0.0 0.25 0.5 0.75 0.0 0.25 1.0
#41 T. Flores 3 0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.333
#20 K. McGaughey 2 0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
#13 A. Prince 2 0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
#5 A. Diouf 2 0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

Advanced Stats:

Stat JMU Opponents Delta EMU Opponents Delta Comments
Pos 65.6 79.3 EMU plays significantly faster
PPP 1.07 1.03 .04 0.82 1.0 -.18 Advantage JMU
Eff 106.7 102.7 4.0 82.4 99.6 -17.2 Advantage JMU
Flr% 51.7 49.8 1.9 43.4 48.0 -4.6 Advantage JMU
eFG% 55.6 51.7 3.9 40.0 49.4 -9.4 Advantage JMU
TS% 58.6 53.9 4.7 42.4 54.0 -11.6 Advantage JMU
FTR 43.1 32.5 10.6 31.3 46.1 -14.8 Advantage JMU
OR% 31.2 29.3 1.9 27.4 28.9 -1.5 Advantage JMU
DR% 70.7 68.8 1.9 71.1 72.6 -1.5
AS% 60.2 59.3 0.9 53.6 63.6 -10.0 Advantage JMU
ST% 4.9 11.0 -6.1 8.8 10.9 -2.1 Advantage EMU
B% 6.3 4.4 1.9 8.3 8.5 -.2
TO% 23.5 18.9 4.6 21.0 20.6 0.4 Advantage JMU
A/T .96 1.13 -0.17 0.74 1.0 -0.26 Advantage JMU

Finally, let’s compare the schedules so far this season (rankings from Ken Pomeroy).

Date Opp Rank Opponent Result Pace Location Record
James Madison
Fri, Nov 12 16 Kansas St. L, 75-61 72 Away 0-1
Sat Nov 20 209 The Citadel W, 74-67 68 Away 1-1
Mon Nov 22 152 Princeton W, 65-64 65 Home 2-1
Tue Nov 23 293 Presbyterian W, 65-56 57 Home 3-1
Wed Nov 24 186 Bucknell W, 85-75 66 Home 4-1
EMU
Fri Nov 12 8 Michigan St. L, 96-66 88 Away 0-1
Wed Nov 17 NR Madonna W, 79-70 75 Home 1-1
Sat Nov 20 173 Canisius L, 71-51 73 Away 1-2

What this all boils down to is that EMU plays much faster than James Madison University, but the Dukes are much more efficient across the board. EMU has also had a much tougher schedule so far; largely because of the game against Michigan State, EMU has played the 26th hardest schedule in the country to date, while James Madison’s schedule ranks 159th. But don’t take schedule strength as too much comfort; Princeton is probably a better team than Canisius, and the Dukes edged out Princeton — admittedly at home — while the Eagles were embarrassed by the Golden Griffins last Saturday.

If the Eagles can turn this into a fast-paced, up-and-down-the-court game, they may have an opportunity to force the Dukes into mistakes, but if it’s a slower paced game, with a lot of half-court set activity, the Dukes will almost certainly win.

Since the game’s not on TV, and as far as I can tell, nor streaming online anywhere, let’s just call this the open thread post.

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2 Comments leave one →
  1. TheClyde permalink
    November 27, 2010 1:54 pm

    Excellent coverage! I look forward for more to come!

    • November 27, 2010 11:53 pm

      Thanks! Time will tell if I can maintain this level of depth through 27+ more basketball games, but I’ll do what I can!

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