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MAC pick ’em, week 6

October 7, 2011

Last week I went 7-2, bringing me to 42-14 for the season, with an asterisk on one miss (Toledo-Syracuse). I finally caved in and picked Temple, just in time for them to lose, and I didn’t expect Central Michigan’s upset win over Northern Illinois.

Army (2-3) at Miami (0-4): Army will finally get a win over a MAC team in their third try of the year, and but for remaining games against Akron, Kent State, and Buffalo, the RedHawks might complete an odd worst-to-first-to-worst.

Florida International (3-1) at Akron (1-4): Having already beaten North Texas 41-16 in their season opener, Florida International should easily be able to defeat another of the worst teams in the FBS.

Bowling Green (3-2) at Western Michigan (3-2): This has the potential to the be one of the highest-scoring games this week. Both teams are pretty good, but the Broncos have clearly had more success against better teams, beating Connecticut and nearly downing Illinois. Plus, they have Alex Carder. With remaining games against Miami and Akron, this will be Western Michigan’s only tough inter-divisional game, and I think they’ll manage to win it.

Temple (3-2) at Ball State (3-2): Realistically, Ball State’s resume as about as good as Temple’s — the Cardinals beat Indiana, Buffalo, and Army at home and lost on the road to South Florida and Oklahoma, while Temple beat Villanova, Akron, and Maryland but lost to Penn State and Toledo — but all things being equal, I’ll choose against Ball State.

EMU (3-2) at Toledo (2-3): The full preview will come later; for now I’ll just say that I think Toledo wins this game.

Central Michigan (2-3) at North Carolina State (2-3): I’m not entirely sure what to make of this year’s Chippewa team, but until I see evidence to the contrary, my theory is that their scoring explosion last week, nearly doubling their season points total, was more a function of Northern Illinois’s defense being broken than of Central Michigan’s offense being fixed. I don’t feel at all confident in this pick, particularly after last week, but I’ll take North Carolina State.

Kent State (1-4) at Northern Illinois (2-3): Speaking of the Huskies and their lack of defense…well, I expect former Wisconsin defensive coordinate Dave Doeren had a few choice words for them after last week’s game, and they’ll come out a little stronger this week. It may not be pretty, but it should be enough for Northern Illinois to win.

Ohio (4-1) at Buffalo (1-4): This is the easiest pick of the week. Ohio’s only loss was at Rutgers. Buffalo’s only win was over Stony Brook. Rutgers > Ohio > a whole bunch of teams > Buffalo > Stony Brook. ’nuff said.

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