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How did EMU’s opponents do in week 11?

November 14, 2011
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EMU’s opponents went 4-6 this week. Howard and Ball State were off, although Ball State was only semi-off, since they’re prepping for a Tuesday night game at Northern Illinois. One game matched up former EMU opponents, and one matched a former against a future EMU opponent.

Team W L Total % Conf W L Conf % Last Next Sag
Howard 5 5 50% MEAC 4 3 57% Bye (won 10-7 at Hampton) At Delaware State 40.09
Alabama State 7 3 70% SWAC 7 2 78% Lost 26-23 vs Southern Vs Tuskegee 42.07
Michigan 8 2 80% Big Ten 4 2 67% Won 31-14 at Illinois Vs Nebraska 84.18
Penn State 8 2 80% Big Ten 5 1 83% Lost 17-14 vs Nebraska At Ohio State 81.52
Akron 1 9 10% MAC 0 6 0% Lost 35-3 vs Kent State At Buffalo 42.98
Toledo 6 4 60% MAC 5 1 83% Won 66-63 vs Western Michigan At Central Michigan 73.29
Central Michigan 3 8 27% MAC 2 5 29% Lost 43-28 vs Ohio Vs Toledo 55.91
Western Michigan 5 5 50% MAC 3 3 50% Lost 66-63 at Toledo At Miami 67.95
Ball State 6 4 60% MAC 4 2 67% Bye (won 33-31 at EMU) At Northern Illinois 63.63
Buffalo 2 8 20% MAC 1 5 17% Lost 30-17 at EMU Vs Akron 56.25
Kent State 4 6 40% MAC 3 3 50% Won 35-3 at Akron Vs EMU 58.35
Northern Illinois 7 3 70% MAC 5 1 87% Won 45-14 at Bowling Green Vs Ball State 71.47
Total 62 59 51% 43 34 56%
Past 51 50 50% 35 30 54%
Upcoming 11 9 55% 8 4 67%

 After a week off, Howard will finish their year with a chance at a winning season, with a very winnable game at Delaware State (2-8; 0-7 MEAC).

Alabama State saw their championship hopes soar and then crash in the same afternoon. The Hornets came into the weekend able to secure the SWAC East title with a win and a loss by Alabama A&M. The Hornets got the loss by A&M, and after falling behind 19-7, mounted a furious fourth-quarter comeback for a 23-19 lead, but Southern answered with a 10-play 73-yard drive culminating in the game-winning touchdown with nine seconds left. Alabama State is done with their conference schedule, and at 7-2, clinches at least a share of the division title. With an Alabama A&M loss, State would become the East Division representative in the SWAC Championship (head-to-head tiebreaker over Jackson State), while a win by A&M and a loss by Jackson State would send A&M to the championship game. If both A&M and Jackson State win this weekend, the teams will be in a three-way tie, and all at 1-1 against each other; it looks to me like A&M would win such a three-way tie on the sixth tiebreaker (“Record versus common non-divisional team with the best overall Conference (divisional and non-divisional) record and proceeding through other common non-divisional teams based on their order of finish within their division.”). I can’t believe I just tracked through all those tiebreakers, but there it is, and now you know.

Michigan took care of business at Illinois, and remains theoretically alive in the B1G Legends race, but the Wolverines need to win out and have Michigan State lose both their remaining games (vs Indiana, at Northwestern). Let’s just say it seems quite unlikely. The Wolverines are now ranked #20 in the AP poll and #18 in the Coaches’ and BCS rankings. (Maize N Brew: “Recap: Michigan Downs Illinois, 31-14“)

Penn State — well, we’re not going to say any more about the scandal — didn’t take care of business, but they had such a big lead in their division race that it doesn’t really matter much. The Nittany Lions can secure a division championship with two wins, or a win and a loss by Wisconsin (which could come in the same game, when the two teams meet). There might also be a scenario in which Penn State can back into the championship with the right losses by other teams, but I’m not going to bother to figure that out at this point. The Nittany Lions are now listed at #21 in all three rankings. (Black Shoe Diaries: “Penn State Loses To Nebraska 17-14“)

Akron is arguably the worst FBS team, and in fact, Sagarin has them rated as below the median FCS team, which probably means that the Zips are also worse than several Division II teams. Let’s just say they’re really not doing well, and leave it at that. Plus, their men’s soccer team failed to win the MAC tournament. Good news for Akron fans: basketball season is here. Kent State crushed the Zips to take their second consecutive Wagon Wheel trophy. It’s the first time the Golden Flashes have won back-to-back games against their rival since 1987-88. (Hustle Belt: “Kent State Is Now Good At Football And ‘Can’ Win The MAC East“)

Toledo has scored an unbelievable 126 points, and nearly a mile of offense, in their last two games, but on the flip side, their defense has allowed 126 points in those same two games. A week ago they lost to Northern Illinois, 63-60, and this week they defeated Western Michigan 66-63. (Yes, the same Broncos team that EMU held to 10 points just scored 63 at Toledo!) I was going to make a comment about Toledo’s football team outscoring their basketball team, but the men’s basketball team doesn’t tip off their season until this Friday. (Let’s Go Rockets: “Toledo defeats WMU, 66-63“)

Central Michigan lost badly to Ohio, and continues to sit at the bottom of the MAC West, which of course means that if they switched divisions they’d be somewhere around the middle of the East. In fact, the West Division is 12-3 against the East so far this year, and two of those three losses were by the Chippewas.

Finally, Northern Illinois, by virtue of having played Toledo recently, has scored 108 points in their last two games, and unlike the West Division Tuesday night shootouts, 45 points was enough to easily beat Bowling Green. The Huskies continue their Tuesday night play by hosting Ball State this week. (Red and Black Attack: “NIU 45, Bowling Green 14: Smooth Sailing“)

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One Comment leave one →
  1. Kenneth Barna permalink
    November 14, 2011 10:00 am

    Dear cmadler,
    There is talk about Pennsylvania State not only forfeiting their last games, but that they should forfeit the whole season. I’ve heard other talk that they should be given the death penalty. There are many points of view, of the position the NCAA should take, but if it is going to take any position in this debate, I know it will not be resolved until next summer.
    Personally, I think Pennsylvania State should be given the death penalty, because this has been covered up for the last ten years. This may be the major reason why Joe Paterno stuck around all these years, to help bury this story, and save his legacy as their coach.

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